BMO Capital Markets has started coverage on Bank of New York Mellon with an 'outperform' rating and a 17.6% upside target, amid sector-wide positive revisions and strong earnings performance, signalling growing institutional confidence in the bank's prospects.
BMO Capital Markets has initiated coverage on Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK) with an "outperform" rating and a price target of $125.00, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 17.6% from the stock's recent close. This development follows a series of positive analyst revisions across the sector. Citigroup recently raised its target to $105 with a neutral stance, while Keefe, Bruyette & Woods rated the stock outperform with a $113 target. Morgan Stanley raised its price target to $116 and gave the stock an overweight rating. The consensus among analysts points to a moderate buy stance, with an average price target close to $103.50.
The stock, which opened at $106.32 on the day of BMO's announcement, trades above its 50-day moving average of $104.49 and well above the 200-day average of $92.76. Bank of New York Mellon’s market capitalisation stands near $75 billion. Its financial metrics include a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.23 and a P/E/G ratio of just over 1. The share price has ranged between $70.41 and $110.87 over the past 52 weeks, reflecting notable volatility.
Bank of New York Mellon reported strong quarterly earnings on July 15, 2025, posting $1.94 earnings per share, comfortably beating expectations of $1.73. Quarterly revenue came in slightly under expectations at $4.77 billion but still demonstrated a healthy 9.4% growth year-over-year. The bank maintained a net margin of 12.27% and a return on equity of 13.46%, underscoring its operational efficiency. Analysts anticipate full-year earnings per share near $6.96, reflecting solid profitability amid evolving market conditions.
Institutional ownership remains high, with over 85% of the stock held by large investors such as Canada Post Corp Registered Pension Plan and Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management, both expanding their stakes recently. Insider activity included Executive Vice President J. Kevin McCarthy’s sale of 20,000 shares in July at an average price of $98.45, a significant reduction in his holdings by about 36%. This transaction was disclosed in an SEC filing. Company insiders own a small fraction, approximately 0.14%, of the company's stock.
Analyst consensus ratings display some divergence. While BMO and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods favour an "outperform" rating, others like Citigroup adopt a more cautious neutral stance. According to wider market data, roughly nine analysts recommend buying the shares, while six advise holding, with no strong sell opinions evident. Several price targets cluster around $100 to $116, highlighting some variance in near-term outlooks.
Bank of New York Mellon operates a diversified financial services platform, including securities services, investment and wealth management, and market and wealth services, both domestically and internationally. Its Securities Services segment supports custody, trust, and a range of fund services, bolstered by data analytics and foreign exchange services. This diversified portfolio has contributed to the bank’s resilience and growth prospects despite macroeconomic pressures.
The upgrade from BMO Capital Markets, the corporate and investment banking arm of Bank of Montreal, leverages its global expertise across financial markets and corporate sectors, lending weight to the positive outlook. BMO’s extensive presence with over 2,700 professionals and a global network supports its comprehensive analysis of Bank of New York Mellon’s strategic positioning.
Overall, Bank of New York Mellon presents as a stock with solid fundamentals, growing institutional confidence, and cautious but optimistic analyst sentiment. The recent earnings beat and strong revenue growth underpin its valuation appeal, though some market observers remain slightly circumspect given valuation multiples and sector headwinds. For financial market infrastructure professionals, the bank’s robust business lines in custody and asset servicing remain central to its growth and operational stability.
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Source: Noah Wire Services
Verification / Sources
- https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/bank-of-new-york-mellon-nysebk-coverage-initiated-by-analysts-at-bmo-capital-markets-2025-10-03/ - Please view link - unable to able to access data
- https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/bank-of-new-york-mellon-nysebk-coverage-initiated-by-analysts-at-bmo-capital-markets-2025-10-03/ - On October 3, 2025, BMO Capital Markets initiated coverage on Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK) with an 'outperform' rating and a price target of $125.00, suggesting a potential upside of 17.57% from the stock's previous close. This follows recent analyst activities, including Citigroup's 'neutral' rating with a raised price target of $105.00 on September 5, 2025, and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods' 'outperform' rating with a price target of $113.00 on July 16, 2025. The consensus among nine equities research analysts is a 'Buy' rating, with an average target price of $103.46. The stock opened at $106.32 on October 3, 2025, with a 50-day moving average of $104.49 and a 200-day moving average of $92.76. The company reported earnings per share of $1.94 for the quarter ending July 15, 2025, surpassing analysts' expectations of $1.73. Revenue for the quarter was $4.77 billion, compared to analysts' expectations of $4.80 billion. The company's quarterly revenue increased by 9.4% compared to the same quarter last year. Insider trading activity includes EVP J. Kevin McCarthy selling 20,000 shares on July 22, 2025, at an average price of $98.45. Institutional investors have also been active, with Canada Post Corp Registered Pension Plan and TrueMark Investments LLC acquiring new stakes in the first quarter. As of the latest data, 85.31% of the stock is owned by institutional investors.
- https://www.stockanalysis.com/stocks/bk/forecast/ - As of October 1, 2025, 12 analysts covering Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK) have a consensus 'Buy' rating with an average price target of $100.92, indicating a potential downside of 5.53% from the current stock price. The price targets range from $77 to $116. The consensus rating suggests that analysts believe the stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months.
- https://www.stockanalysis.com/stocks/bk/ratings/ - As of October 1, 2025, 13 analysts have rated Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK), with a consensus 'Buy' rating and an average price target of $100.92, indicating a potential downside of 5.53% from the current stock price. Recent ratings include Evercore ISI Group maintaining a 'Hold' rating with a price target of $110 on September 30, 2025, and Morgan Stanley maintaining a 'Buy' rating with a price target of $116 on September 29, 2025.
- https://www.gurufocus.com/news/3124263/bank-of-new-york-mellon-bk-receives-analyst-rating-update-from-morgan-stanley-bk-stock-news?mobile=true - On September 29, 2025, Morgan Stanley maintained an 'Overweight' rating for Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK) and raised the price target from $101.00 to $116.00, marking a 14.85% increase. This follows Citigroup's 'Neutral' rating with a raised price target from $92.00 to $105.00 on September 5, 2025, and Truist Securities' 'Hold' rating with a price target raised from $100.00 to $109.00 on August 14, 2025.
- https://capitalmarkets.bmo.com/en - BMO Capital Markets is the investment and corporate banking division of Bank of Montreal (BMO), offering a comprehensive range of services including foreign exchange, trade finance, corporate lending, and advisory services. With over 2,700 professionals and more than 30 locations worldwide, BMO Capital Markets provides industry-specific expertise and a global network to support clients' financial needs.
- https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/bank-new-york-mellon-stock-analyst-estimates-ratings - Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK) reported strong Q1 results on April 11, 2025, with a 3% year-over-year increase in fee revenues to $3.4 billion and an 11.4% surge in net interest income to $1.2 billion. The company's adjusted earnings per share rose 22.5% year-over-year to $1.58, surpassing consensus estimates by more than 6%. For the full fiscal year 2025, analysts expect an 11.4% year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS to $6.72.
Noah Fact Check Pro
The draft above was created using the information available at the time the story first emerged. We've since applied our fact-checking process to the final narrative, based on the criteria listed below. The results are intended to help you assess the credibility of the piece and highlight any areas that may warrant further investigation.
Freshness check
Score: 10
Notes: The narrative is fresh, with no prior publications found. The earliest known publication date is October 3, 2025. No discrepancies in figures, dates, or quotes were identified. The report is based on a press release, which typically warrants a high freshness score. No recycled content or republishing across low-quality sites was detected.
Quotes check
Score: 10
Notes: No direct quotes were identified in the narrative. The absence of quotes suggests potential originality or exclusivity.
Source reliability
Score: 8
Notes: The narrative originates from MarketBeat, a financial news aggregator. While MarketBeat compiles information from various sources, it does not produce original reporting. The reliance on a press release from BMO Capital Markets adds credibility, but the lack of independent verification lowers the reliability score.
Plausability check
Score: 9
Notes: The claims regarding BMO Capital Markets initiating coverage on Bank of New York Mellon with an 'outperform' rating and a price target of $125.00 are plausible and align with standard financial reporting practices. The absence of supporting details from other reputable outlets is noted, but the press release serves as a primary source. No inconsistencies in language or tone were observed.
Overall assessment
Veredict (FAIL, OPEN, PASS): PASS
Confidence (LOW, MEDIUM, HIGH): HIGH
Summary: The narrative is fresh, original, and based on a credible press release from BMO Capital Markets. The absence of direct quotes and reliance on a single source are noted, but the information is plausible and consistent with standard financial reporting practices.