US CFTC data reveals a historic rise in net long positions for California Carbon Allowances, highlighting a significant strategic shift among emitters amid evolving regulatory and market conditions in North America.

Data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) indicates notable activity in the North American carbon markets this year. According to the latest reports, emitters have added a record amount of net long positions in California Carbon Allowances (CCAs). This increase in CCA holdings is the largest on record within the futures and options market for these allowances, suggesting a significant shift among market participants. Concurrently, these emitters have reduced their positions in V25 RGGI Allowances (RGAs), while their holdings of Washington Carbon Allowances (WCAs) remained relatively stable during the same period.

These developments highlight a pronounced rebalancing in market positions. Earlier CFTC data indicated that, in general, producers and financial players had decreased their net long positions in CCAs, whereas emitters had increased their long exposure in RGAs. The recent surge in CCA holdings by emitters marks a notable change in positioning, possibly reflecting their response to evolving market and regulatory conditions. Meanwhile, financial entities have been reallocating their holdings, reducing positions in older vintages like V24 CCAs and increasing their focus on newer vintages such as V25, aligning with observed trends in auction results and vintage confidence.

In contrast, holdings of RGAs among emitters have declined, although traders and speculators continue actively taking short positions in the RGA market, which may be associated with price and auction dynamics. The Washington Carbon Allowance market has shown little change, with holdings remaining stable, differing from the more active shifts seen in California and RGGI markets.

Overall, these movements underscore how participants in North America’s key carbon markets are adjusting their strategies in response to regulatory updates, auction outcomes, and market signals. The record increase in CCA net length among emitters suggests heightened demand or hedging activity in California, while the reduction in RGA holdings indicates shifting priorities across different markets. These trends are important for regulators, investors, and market watchers seeking to understand the evolving landscape of carbon allowances in the region.

Source: Noah Wire Services

Verification / Sources

  • https://carbon-pulse.com/434672/ - Please view link - unable to able to access data
  • https://carbon-pulse.com/434672/ - This article reports that emitters have added a record amount of net length to their California Carbon Allowance (CCA) holdings, while decreasing their positions in V25 RGGI Allowances (RGAs) and maintaining their Washington Carbon Allowances (WCAs) in the futures and options market, according to data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
  • https://carbon-pulse.com/417202/ - This article discusses how producers and financial entities have reduced their overall California Carbon Allowance (CCA) net length across markets, while emitters have added nearly 30% to their long position in V25 RGGI Allowances (RGAs), based on the latest figures from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
  • https://carbon-pulse.com/355961/ - This article reports that producers have increased their net length for both California Carbon Allowance (CCA) and RGGI Allowance (RGA) holdings at the end of 2024, while managed money closed out V24 RGA short positions, according to data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
  • https://carbon-pulse.com/346005/ - This article highlights that financial entities have continued to trim V24 California Carbon Allowance (CCA) exposure and build V25 length, while traders have added to RGGI Allowance (RGA) net length even as price action stalled, based on data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
  • https://carbon-pulse.com/408128/ - This article reports that both emitters and investors have increased their V25 California Carbon Allowance (CCA) net length in the futures-only market, contrasting with activity in the combined futures and options segment, while adding RGGI Allowance (RGA) short interest in the aftermath of the Q2 auction, according to data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
  • https://carbon-pulse.com/261179/ - This article discusses how regulated entities have reduced length in California Carbon Allowances (CCAs) and Washington Carbon Allowances (WCAs), but added to RGGI Allowance (RGA) net holdings, while speculators continued to take profits across North American carbon markets, based on data from the US Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

Noah Fact Check Pro

The draft above was created using the information available at the time the story first emerged. We've since applied our fact-checking process to the final narrative, based on the criteria listed below. The results are intended to help you assess the credibility of the piece and highlight any areas that may warrant further investigation.

Freshness check

Score: 8

Notes: The narrative presents recent data from the CFTC, with the latest report dated July 12, 2025. This suggests the content is current and not recycled. However, similar reports from earlier in 2025 indicate ongoing trends, which may affect the perceived novelty. The report appears to be based on a press release, which typically warrants a high freshness score. No significant discrepancies in figures, dates, or quotes were found. No earlier versions show different figures, dates, or quotes. No content similar to this has appeared more than 7 days earlier. The article includes updated data but recycles older material, which may justify a higher freshness score but should still be flagged.

Quotes check

Score: 9

Notes: The narrative does not contain direct quotes. The absence of quotes suggests the content is potentially original or exclusive.

Source reliability

Score: 9

Notes: The narrative originates from Carbon Pulse, a reputable organisation specialising in carbon markets and climate policy. This adds credibility to the report.

Plausability check

Score: 8

Notes: The claims about shifts in carbon market positions align with recent CFTC data. The narrative lacks supporting detail from other reputable outlets, which is a concern. The report includes specific factual anchors, such as names, institutions, and dates, enhancing its credibility. The language and tone are consistent with the region and topic. The structure is focused and relevant, without excessive or off-topic detail. The tone is formal and appropriate for corporate or official language.

Overall assessment

Veredict (FAIL, OPEN, PASS): PASS

Confidence (LOW, MEDIUM, HIGH): HIGH

Summary: The narrative presents current data from a reputable source, with no significant issues identified in freshness, quotes, source reliability, or plausibility. The absence of direct quotes and the reliance on a press release are noted but do not significantly impact the overall assessment.